Also known as:post-hoc · post hoc ergo propter hoc
Written by attorneys — see sources below.
An analysis or justification formed after the relevant events have occurred. It frequently embodies the logical fallacy of assuming that because one event followed another the first caused the second.
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How its tested
Common Examples
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Judge's Conflict Discovered After Ruling
Portia Price sued a university in federal court. The presiding judge had once served as a trustee negotiating with the university but learned of the connection only after judgment. The court of appeals vacated the judgment because the post hoc discovery of the disqualifying interest undermined public confidence in the judiciary.
State's Later Justification for Abortion Law
Patricia Patel challenged a state abortion restriction. The state defended the law by citing health concerns that emerged only during litigation. The court rejected the defense because the post hoc rationale did not reflect the legislature's actual contemporaneous purpose.
Planned Parenthood of Southeastern Pennsylvania v. Casey505 U.S. 833, 112 S. Ct. 2791, 120 L. Ed. 2d 674 (1992)
The Pennsylvania Abortion Control Act of 1982, as amended in 1988 and 1989, established several requirements governing the performance of abortions within the Commonwealth.
The Act required a woman seeking an abortion to provide informed consent after receiving specific information from a physician or counselor at least twenty-four hours before the procedure. It mandated that a minor obtain the informed consent of one parent, subject to a judicial bypass option. It further required a married woman to sign a statement confirming that she had notified her husband of her planned abortion, unless certain exceptions applied. The Act also imposed reporting obligations on facilities providing abortion services and defined a medical emergency exception to the various requirements.
Before any of these provisions took effect, the petitioners brought suit in the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania. The petitioners were five abortion clinics and one physician representing himself as well as a class of physicians who provide abortion services. They sought declaratory and injunctive relief and challenged each provision as unconstitutional on its face.
The District Court entered a preliminary injunction. After conducting a three-day bench trial, the District Court held all the provisions unconstitutional and entered a permanent injunction against their enforcement by Pennsylvania.
The Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit affirmed in part and reversed in part. It adopted the District Court's factual findings and legal analysis except with respect to the spousal notification requirement. The Court of Appeals upheld the spousal notification requirement as constitutional and applied the undue burden standard in evaluating the provisions.
The Supreme Court granted certiorari to consider the constitutionality of the challenged provisions of the Pennsylvania statute.
Pavel Petrov bought stock and later sued for fraud on the market. After the price dropped he executed an affidavit stating he had relied on market price. The court viewed the affidavit as a post hoc statement that could not reliably establish reliance at the time of purchase.
Basic Inc. v. Levinson485 U.S. [224], at 238 1988
Basic Incorporated was a publicly traded company primarily engaged in manufacturing chemical refractories for the steel industry. As early as 1965 or 1966 Combustion Engineering expressed interest in acquiring Basic but was deterred by antitrust concerns. In 1976 regulatory action removed the antitrust barrier and Combustion's strategic plan listed an objective to acquire Basic for thirty million dollars.
Beginning in September 1976 Combustion representatives met and spoke by telephone with Basic officers and directors about a possible merger. During 1977 and 1978 Basic issued three public statements denying that merger negotiations were under way. On December 18 1978 Basic asked the New York Stock Exchange to suspend trading in its shares and announced it had been approached by another company concerning a merger.
The next day Basic's board endorsed Combustion's offer of forty-six dollars per share. On December 20 1978 Basic publicly announced approval of Combustion's tender offer for all outstanding shares. Respondents are former Basic shareholders who sold their stock after Basic's October 21 1977 public statement and before the December 1978 trading suspension.
Respondents brought a class action against Basic and its directors alleging that the three statements violated section 10(b) and Rule 10b-5 by misleading the market and causing sales at artificially depressed prices. The District Court certified the class under a presumption of reliance but granted summary judgment for the defendants on the ground that any misstatements were immaterial. The Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit affirmed class certification reversed the summary judgment and remanded the case. The Supreme Court granted certiorari.
Prism Analytics invoked a House Report to limit supplemental jurisdiction. The report appeared after the statute's passage and contradicted the enacted text. The court refused to credit the post hoc legislative history as altering the plain statutory result.
Exxon Mobil Corp. v. Allapattah Services, Inc.545 U.S. 546, 558–59 (2005)
In 1991, about 10,000 Exxon dealers filed a class-action suit against the Exxon Corporation in the United States District Court for the Northern District of Florida. They alleged an intentional and systematic scheme by which they were overcharged for fuel purchased from Exxon. The plaintiffs invoked the District Court's diversity jurisdiction under 28 U.S.C. § 1332(a). Each dealer's claim was for slightly less than the $75,000 jurisdictional minimum. After a unanimous jury verdict in favor of the plaintiffs, the District Court certified the case for interlocutory review on the question of supplemental jurisdiction over class members who did not meet the jurisdictional minimum.
In a separate action, a 9-year-old girl sued Star-Kist in a diversity action in the United States District Court for the District of Puerto Rico. She sought damages for unusually severe injuries she received when she sliced her finger on a tuna can. Her family joined in the suit seeking damages for emotional distress and medical expenses. The District Court granted summary judgment to Star-Kist, finding that none of the plaintiffs met the minimum amount-in-controversy requirement.
The Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit upheld the District Court's extension of supplemental jurisdiction to the class members who did not meet the amount requirement. The Court of Appeals for the First Circuit ruled that the injured girl, but not her family members, had made allegations of damages in the requisite amount. It further held that section 1367 authorizes supplemental jurisdiction only when the district court has original jurisdiction over the action. In a diversity case, original jurisdiction is lacking if one plaintiff fails to satisfy the amount-in-controversy requirement.
The Supreme Court granted certiorari to resolve the conflict among the Courts of Appeals. The cases were consolidated before the Supreme Court.
Penelope Price sued officers who brought reporters into her home during an arrest. The officers later claimed the ride-along served legitimate law-enforcement purposes. The court dismissed those post hoc rationalizations because they did not reflect any recognized exception at the time of the search.
Wilson v. Layne526 U.S. 603 (1999)
In early 1992 the Attorney General approved Operation Gunsmoke, a national program in which United States Marshals and local police targeted armed fugitives wanted for serious drug and violent felonies. One target was Dominic Wilson, who had violated probation on robbery, theft, and assault charges and whose computer record listed caution indicators for being armed and resisting arrest. The listed address was 909 North Stone Street Avenue in Rockville, Maryland, the home of his parents Charles and Geraldine Wilson. In April 1992 the Circuit Court for Montgomery County issued three arrest warrants for Dominic Wilson addressed to any peace officer and commanding immediate arrest; the warrants contained no reference to media presence.
On April 16, 1992 a Gunsmoke team of Deputy United States Marshals and Montgomery County officers assembled to execute the warrants. The team was accompanied by a Washington Post reporter and photographer invited under the Marshals Service ride-along policy. Shortly after 6:45 a.m. the officers entered the Wilson home. Charles Wilson, wearing only briefs, confronted the armed men in street clothes and was subdued on the living-room floor. Geraldine Wilson, wearing only a nightgown, entered and saw her husband restrained. After a protective sweep revealed Dominic Wilson was absent, the officers left; during the entry the Post photographer took numerous pictures while the reporter observed.
The Washington Post never published the photographs. Charles and Geraldine Wilson sued the federal officers under Bivens and the county officers under 42 U.S.C. § 1983, alleging that the media presence during the warrant execution violated their Fourth Amendment rights. The district court denied the officers’ motion for summary judgment on qualified-immunity grounds. On interlocutory appeal a Fourth Circuit panel reversed; after two en banc rehearings the court upheld qualified immunity without deciding whether the media presence violated the Fourth Amendment.
The Fourth Circuit reasoned that no prior decision had held media entry into a home during warrant execution unconstitutional, so the asserted right was not clearly established. Noting a circuit split on the issue, the Supreme Court granted certiorari.
Pablo Perez challenged enforcement of a sodomy law that applied only to same-sex conduct. The state offered post hoc explanations that the selective enforcement protected public morals. The court found those explanations belied by the state's own prior actions and insufficient to justify the classification.
Bowers v. Hardwick478 U.S. 186 (1986)
In August 1982, respondent Michael Hardwick was charged with violating the Georgia statute criminalizing sodomy by committing that act with another adult male in the bedroom of respondent's home. After a preliminary hearing, the District Attorney decided not to present the matter to the grand jury unless further evidence developed.
Hardwick, who identified as a practicing homosexual, then brought suit in the Federal District Court challenging the constitutionality of the statute insofar as it criminalized consensual sodomy. He asserted that the Georgia sodomy statute, as administered by the defendants, placed him in imminent danger of arrest. The District Court granted the defendants' motion to dismiss for failure to state a claim, relying on Doe v. Commonwealth's Attorney for the City of Richmond, which the Supreme Court had summarily affirmed.
A divided panel of the Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit reversed. The appellate court held that the Georgia statute violated respondent's fundamental rights because his homosexual activity is a private and intimate association beyond the reach of state regulation by reason of the Ninth Amendment and the Due Process Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. It remanded for trial.
John and Mary Doe were also plaintiffs in the action. They alleged that they wished to engage in sexual activity proscribed by the statute in the privacy of their home and that they had been chilled and deterred from engaging in such activity by both the existence of the statute and Hardwick's arrest. The District Court held that because they had neither sustained, nor were in immediate danger of sustaining, any direct injury from the enforcement of the statute, they did not have proper standing to maintain the action. The Court of Appeals affirmed that dismissal.
The Georgia statute at issue, Ga. Code Ann. § 16-6-2, provides that a person commits the offense of sodomy when he performs or submits to any sexual act involving the sex organs of one person and the mouth or anus of another. A person convicted shall be punished by imprisonment for not less than one nor more than twenty years. Because other Courts of Appeals had arrived at judgments contrary to that of the Eleventh Circuit, the Supreme Court granted the Attorney General's petition for certiorari questioning the holding that the sodomy statute violates the fundamental rights of homosexuals.
How does post hoc analysis differ from ex ante evaluation in procedural due process?
Post hoc analysis looks backward at actual results after notice has been given. Ex ante evaluation asks whether the notice procedure was adequate when viewed from before the events unfolded. Courts assess the constitutionality of notice procedures ex ante rather than through post hoc success rates.
Why do courts reject post hoc justifications in equal protection cases involving sex classifications?
The justification must be genuine and not invented after litigation begins. Overbroad generalizations about the talents or capacities of men and women cannot supply an exceedingly persuasive reason when offered only as a post hoc rationalization.
Supporting sources
What is the logical fallacy captured by the phrase post hoc ergo propter hoc?
The fallacy assumes that because one event followed another the earlier event must have caused the later one. Legal opinions frequently label after-the-fact explanations as post hoc when they rest on nothing more than sequence.
478 U.S. 186 (1986)
…sodomy; even though that prohibition is concededly unconstitutional with respect to heterosexuals; and even though the State's post hoc explanations for selective application are belied by the State's own actions. At the very least, I think it clear at this early stage of the litigation that respondent has alleged a…